Sep
28
The following question was recently posed by the Realtor.com Blogging Team:
Polls show 83% of Americans feel the Country is on the wrong track. What is your opinion on Friday night’s debate and the future of our economy?
I have to say I’m sad for the American Economy. It’s not going to shrivel up and die, but it is going to hurt (a lot) before it gets better. No matter what happens this is a cycle that we must go through - it is too late to change the circumstances that put us here, and any bailouts are ultimately just bandaids on our broken legs.
We need fundamental changes in how business is done. Fundamental changes to how our economy works. Fundamental changes on what people are allowed to do with their companies. There needs to be a way for the INTENT of a law to mean more than the specific wording. Specific wording is how loopholes are found…loopholes are ways to circumvent the intent without technically being able to be held liable.
No, this is going to be a long and drawn out process, and I fear the more we bail companies out that are unable to sustain themselves, the longer and more drawn out and ultimately more painful it will be.
I see a very strong parallel between the economy and selling a home in a downward trending market.
The bailouts and bandaids that the government is considering are short term “feel good” fixes to long term and worsening problems. Just like having a higher list price on a home makes the seller FEEL good while ultimately hurting their bottom line by forcing them to chase the market down, or just deal with the bed they’ve made and keep the house.
Our economy needs to cut its losses, and no it won’t feel good, and yes it will hurt quite a bit to re-break the bone, re-set it, and stick it in a cast so it can heal…but unless that is done - I fear our economy will be crippled for the long-term…and that is sad when it is preventable. Companies that stay in business are those that make good decisions, companies that don’t, don’t. We create the world we live in - we create our future by our actions in the present…just as these companies created their present by the actions in their past. Bailing them out will 1) be a bandaid and 2) encourage more recklessly risky behavior.

What’s the phrase when it comes to gambling with money you don’t have? Oh yeah…don’t. If you don’t have the money to lose, stay out of the casino.
These companies didn’t have the money to lose, and they went to the casino, they bet big, and they lost. Now “Fat Tony” and “Jimmy Fingers” are coming after them to collect and they’re crying foul. That’s not how it works, my friends.
If it were, I’d be at the casino betting with other people’s money and not being worried about whether I lose or not. Oh yeah - and when I say “other peoples money” I mean yours.

COMMENTS (3)
I completely agree that if we continue to bail out failing companies we will prolong this downturn and slow the impeding recovery. There will be short term pain, but we have to deal with it. Many people took out loans they didn't understand and can't pay. Many banks packaged up these bad mortgages as securities and sold them to many other people who are now going to take losses. But that's the risk all those parties took. The Fed should continue to do it's job and the people should not have to contribute to bailing out failed systems. How does that help? That sends out a signal that bad business will still be rewarded and no serious changes will be made. That's a mistake. I think the general public got it right on this one and spoke up for themselves. And thankfully, their elected leaders listened and voted it down. The economy in a free market will take ups and downs. Now is a down time. It will come back up simply out of the desire to reinvest at lows. There are systems in place to prevent a complete collapse like we saw in the 30's...let them work. September 30, 2008 at 6:27 pm
Great article, and I agree. A huge problem I see with this is that our government is deciding to use money they don't have...I'm sure they will just print some more. Then what? Our dollar will lose even MORE value which only hurts people even more. What good is a million dollars when it won't buy you anything? Let's suck it up for the good of the country! October 1, 2008 at 6:28 pm
@Jason - Thanks for the positive words and you're absolutely correct. I know I'm snatching up as many houses as I can right now, and recommending all my investor clients do the same! @Kyle - Thanks for stopping by! Hey - how do you raise home prices? Print more money! Why? Because as the value of a dollar goes down, it takes more dollars to buy my house - i.e. "my house went up in value!" ...right? October 1, 2008 at 6:56 pm